Dire situation gets even more dire
Introduction:
The dire situation in health demands immediate attention and concerted efforts from various stakeholders. The global health landscape is plagued by numerous challenges, including infectious diseases, non-communicable diseases, healthcare inequalities, and societal determinants that significantly impact health outcomes. In this article, we will explore the complexity of the situation and discuss potential solutions to address the pressing issues.
“The dire situation in health reminds us of the urgent need for collective action and unwavering commitment to improve the well-being of all individuals.”
Understanding the Complexity:
A. Global Health Challenges: The dire situation in health is compounded by global health challenges. The prevalence of infectious diseases, such as COVID-19, Ebola, and malaria, continues to pose significant threats to populations worldwide. Additionally, non-communicable diseases like cardiovascular diseases, cancer, and diabetes contribute to the burden of illness. Addressing these challenges requires robust healthcare systems, adequate resources, and a comprehensive approach to prevention, treatment, and control.
Research Community:
The research community contributes significantly to understanding and finding solutions to health challenges. Ongoing scientific studies and advancements in medical research provide critical insights into disease prevention, diagnosis, and treatment. Collaborative research efforts, knowledge sharing, and funding support are key to accelerating progress and finding innovative solutions to combat the dire situation.
Innovative Solutions and Developments:
Technological Advancements: Technology plays a pivotal role in transforming healthcare delivery and improving health outcomes. Telemedicine, remote monitoring, and digital health records enable accessible and efficient healthcare services, especially in underserved areas. Artificial intelligence (AI) and data analytics help enhance disease surveillance, diagnostics, and treatment planning, leading to more targeted interventions and improved patient care.
Vaccination Campaigns: Vaccination programs are instrumental in preventing and controlling infectious diseases. Widespread immunization campaigns, coupled with public education and awareness, are vital to achieving herd immunity and protecting communities from outbreaks. Continued investment in research and development of vaccines is essential to stay ahead of emerging health threats.
Prioritizing Wellness and Well-being:
Mental Health Support: The dire situation in health takes a toll on mental well-being. The stress, fear, and uncertainty associated with health crises can lead to increased rates of anxiety, depression, and other mental health disorders. It is crucial to prioritize mental health support, providing access to counseling services, psychological interventions, and resources to help individuals cope with the challenges they face.
Healthy Lifestyle Practices: Promoting healthy lifestyle practices is key to preventing and managing various health conditions. Encouraging regular physical exercise, balanced nutrition, and adequate sleep can strengthen individuals’ immune systems and improve overall well-being. Education on preventive
“Health is not just the absence of illness, but a state of complete physical, mental, and social well-being.” – World Health Organization
Antarctic sea ice extent was 1.788 million km² on February 21, 2023, an all-time low in the NSIDC record.
The dire situation is further illustrated by the image below, showing high sea surface temperature anomalies (from 1981-2011) over the Southern Ocean, the Atlantic ocean and the Arctic Ocean on February 19, 2023.
It is remarkable for CO₂ levels to already reach record high levels this early in the year, given that CO₂ levels typically reach their annual maximum in May. This spells bad news for developments over the next few months. Keep in mind that carbon dioxide reaches its maximum warming some 10 years after emission, so we haven’t been hit by the full wrath of carbon dioxide pollution yet.
It looks like it’s going to be a very strong El Niño, given that we’ve been in a La Niña for such a long time.
[ click on images to enlarge ] |
Observed values for January 2023 are already well above the maximum values that NOAA predicted to be reached in July 2025.
The Clouds Tipping Point, at 1200 ppm CO₂e, could be crossed and this on its own could result in a further rise of 8°C. As illustrated by the above image, this tipping point could be crossed as early as in 2027 due to forcing caused by the rise in methane alone. When further forcing is taken into account, this could happen even earlier than in 2027.
While methane at higher altitude can reach even higher levels than NOAA’s marine surface data, adding NOAA’s November 2022 mean to 422.88 ppm CO₂ would leave just 392.41 ppm CO₂e for further forcing, before the Clouds Tipping Point would get crossed, as the image on the right illustrates.
[ see the Extinction page ] |
The image on the right, from the extinction page, includes a potential rise of 1.9°C by 2026 as the sulfate cooling effect falls away and an additional rise of 0.6°C due to an increase in warming aerosols by 2026, as discussed in this post and earlier posts.
[ from Blue Ocean Event 2022? – click on images to enlarge ] |
The above image depicts only one sequence of events, or one scenario out of many. Things may eventuate in different orders and occur simultaneously, i.e. instead of one domino tipping over the next one sequentially, many events may occur simultaneously and reinforce each other. Further events and developments could be added to the list, such as ocean stratification and stronger storms that can push large amounts of warm salty water into the Arctic Ocean.
1. asteroid strikes
2. rampant pestilence, diseases, epidemics and pandemics
3. war, murder and violence
4. ecosystems and vegetation collapse, famine
5. dehydration
6. plastic pollution, spread of poisonous and toxic substances
7. nuclear accidents, nuclear war or waste leakage
8. outbreaks of antibiotic-resistant bacteria
9. emerging new or re-emerging ancient microbes
10. bio-weapons and biological experiments gone out of hand
11. infertility, genetic degeneration, loss of genetic diversity
12. madness, cults, depression and suicide
13. polar shifts, earthquakes, landslides and tsunamis
14. Artificial Intelligence gone rogue
15. hostile aliens breeding predatory animals
More recently, climate change threats are mentioned such as:
16. destructive storms, flooding, fires and more extreme weather
17. hydrogen sulfide gas released from oceans
18. depletion of the ozone layer
19. co-extinctions, i.e. extinction of species that humans depend on, resulting in our own demise.
There may be more threats, but I think the biggest threat is:
20. temperature rise
In the video below, Edge of Extinction: Destination Destruction, Guy McPherson gives his view on our predicament.
Links
• NSIDC – National Snow and Ice Data Center
https://www.nsidc.org
• NSIDC – Chartic interactive sea ice graph
https://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/charctic-interactive-sea-ice-graph
• Cryosphere Computing – by Nico Sun
https://cryospherecomputing.com
• Nullschool
https://earth.nullschool.net
• Climate Reanalyzer – sea ice based on NSIDC index V3
https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/seaice
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf
• NOAA – Monthly temperature anomalies versus El Niño
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/global/202301/supplemental/page-4
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-022-01568-2
• Albedo, latent heat, insolation and more
• Blue Ocean Event
• Tropicaltidbits.com
• The Clouds Feedback and the Clouds Tipping Point
https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/clouds-feedback.html
• The Importance of Methane in Climate Change
• The underappreciated role of anthropogenic sources in atmospheric soluble iron flux to the Southern Ocean – by Mingxu Liu et al. (2022)
• How close are we to the temperature tipping point of the terrestrial biosphere? – by Katharyn Duffy et al. (2021)
• Upper Ocean Temperatures Hit Record High in 2020 – by Lijing Cheng et al. (2021)
• Reduced CO₂ uptake and growing nutrient sequestration from slowing overturning circulation – by Yi Liu et al. (2022)
• Cold freshwater lid on North Atlantic
• Long-Term Slowdown of Ocean Carbon Uptake by Alkalinity Dynamics – by Megumi Chikamoto et al. (2023)
• Ocean Surface Tipping Point Could Accelerate Climate Change
• When Will We Die?
• Edge of Extinction: Destination Destruction – video by Guy McPherson
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